View Poll Results: Did you buy shares ?

Voters
1110. You may not vote on this poll
  • Yes, I'm acting now !

    694 62.52%
  • No

    416 37.48%
  1. masterful's Avatar
    @Morgan sir

    Do you know if the purchase of the last few trading days are from big investors or just retailers? I like to hear some big money invested

    #BBFactCheck
    12-15-15 03:02 PM
  2. morganplus8's Avatar
    @Morgan sir

    Do you know if the purchase of the last few trading days are from big investors or just retailers? I like to hear some big money invested

    #BBFactCheck
    An excellent question but a difficult one to answer. The two major houses buying today were Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley with one very large purchaser not willing to disclose who they are. The rest of the trades came from multiple houses in both Canada and the US. BB stated that they are averaging about 584,000;shrs per day, now this data is available in their Q2 report with purchases made at the end of July this past summer. It is hard to determine who is buying stock when their trader won't post their trade number. So I can't work the numbers much based on such little data. It is easy to obtain the data from those who will report their traders number. I'm not going to pursue the data so close to Q3 as it might take me that long to sort out who is who, I'm sure you understand.

    A great day for BBRY, as for BB.TO, (Canada, thanks to the weak dollar) closed at a 6-month high and we aren't that far behind here on the US price side of things. I believe we stalled out when the DOW dropped back below its 50-dma and 200-dma on news from 3M this afternoon. Let's see what tomorrow brings!
    W Hoa, 3MIKE, CDM76 and 14 others like this.
    12-15-15 03:30 PM
  3. CDM76's Avatar
    Another Best Phone ranking..... this time from popular science. And I think they are correct that it is pricey. A hundred dollars off may have sold many more. Hard to say. But with it being out of stock everywhere I guess they did price it correctly

    "it is powerful, elegant, secure, and hugely entertaining during off-hours. The Priv is one of the best smartphones available today. Pricey, but well worth it for the right buyer."

    http://www.popularmechanics.com/tech...s-of-the-year/




    Posted via CB10
    12-15-15 03:44 PM
  4. Mr BBRY's Avatar
    Here is a different way to look at it, BlackBerry has a current "short position" in the stock, they need to purchase and retire 21 MM shares and they have the ability to do that with the inside benefit of the "feel" for the value of the company based on how it is doing in software, services and hardware. In order to obtain the best possible price for the stock, it behooves them to keep quiet about all aspects of the business and the law requires them to sit on any material developments until they report Q3 numbers. It would be a convenient time for them to retire those shares and I want to know how many they did in fact retire.

    Just a guess at why the stock has been so strong this time around on no news.
    That's a great guess and one I'd love to see materialize as the truth. I haven't heard a single explanation for last Thursday's jump that makes more sense than that, so I respectfully agree. Only 2 more days of trading until we find out if you're right.

    I'd like to continue with those good vibes and follow up on my previous post with my UPDATED PRIV review. 24 hours of use after installing the AT&T OS update and updating all apps in Google Play, all I can say is, WOW! My Priv has been cured of almost all previous ailments! I went from getting a max of 8 hours of use on a full battery charge to having 67% remaining life after 8 hours today. I am honestly shocked at how much of an improvement this update made, and that it came only 1 month after the device was released. My faith in BlackBerry has been restored and I can now comfortably hold my shares into this Friday's ER, knowing that I once again truly appreciate their latest product offering! The Priv is a winner in my book!
    12-15-15 03:47 PM
  5. masterful's Avatar
    Thanks Morgan for taking your time writing back.


    #BBFactCheck
    Corbu, morganplus8, rarsen and 6 others like this.
    12-15-15 05:26 PM
  6. W Hoa's Avatar
    BlackBerry earnings may show Priv smartphone impact | Toronto Star


    RBC analyst Mark Sue said the Priv launch combined with BlackBerrys November acquisition of mobile security software provider Good Technology Corp. marks the furthest progress BlackBerry has made on its turnaround plan, which aims for less reliance on hardware and greater software sales.

    Were looking for $98M [U.S.] software revenue 3Q, up from $74M 2Q and growth in IP licensing and enterprise software; one month earlier close of the Good acquisition implies another $13M software revenue 3Q, Sue wrote.

    The combination of BlackBerry and Good could produce $500 million in software revenue in the companys fiscal year 2016, he added.

    Chen has targeted a doubling of revenue in 2016 from software services to offset falling income from hardware and related fees.

    Sue estimated that BlackBerry revenue in the quarter ended Nov. 28 will rise 0.5 per cent sequentially to $493 million, marking a slowdown in a long term revenue decline to 38 per cent year over year from 47 per cent in the previous quarter.

    Helped by lower operating costs, BlackBerry is expected to deliver an 11 cent per share loss in the quarter, marking an improvement from a 13 cent loss recorded in the second quarter.
    Mr BBRY, Corbu, sidhuk and 7 others like this.
    12-15-15 06:02 PM
  7. bbjdog's Avatar
    Reading material

    http://blogs.blackberry.com/2015/12/...a-way-forward/

    Posted via my BlackBerry Passport
    12-15-15 06:15 PM
  8. spiller's Avatar
    That's a great guess and one I'd love to see materialize as the truth. I haven't heard a single explanation for last Thursday's jump that makes more sense than that, so I respectfully agree. Only 2 more days of trading until we find out if you're right.

    I'd like to continue with those good vibes and follow up on my previous post with my UPDATED PRIV review. 24 hours of use after installing the AT&T OS update and updating all apps in Google Play, all I can say is, WOW! My Priv has been cured of almost all previous ailments! I went from getting a max of 8 hours of use on a full battery charge to having 67% remaining life after 8 hours today. I am honestly shocked at how much of an improvement this update made, and that it came only 1 month after the device was released. My faith in BlackBerry has been restored and I can now comfortably hold my shares into this Friday's ER, knowing that I once again truly appreciate their latest product offering! The Priv is a winner in my book!
    This bodes very well for the Euro launch end of December. Now I just need a $10 SP (BBRY) on Friday so I can live up to my end of 'the agreement'.
    Mr BBRY and bungaboy like this.
    12-15-15 07:00 PM
  9. spiller's Avatar
    That's a great guess and one I'd love to see materialize as the truth. I haven't heard a single explanation for last Thursday's jump that makes more sense than that, so I respectfully agree. Only 2 more days of trading until we find out if you're right.

    I'd like to continue with those good vibes and follow up on my previous post with my UPDATED PRIV review. 24 hours of use after installing the AT&T OS update and updating all apps in Google Play, all I can say is, WOW! My Priv has been cured of almost all previous ailments! I went from getting a max of 8 hours of use on a full battery charge to having 67% remaining life after 8 hours today. I am honestly shocked at how much of an improvement this update made, and that it came only 1 month after the device was released. My faith in BlackBerry has been restored and I can now comfortably hold my shares into this Friday's ER, knowing that I once again truly appreciate their latest product offering! The Priv is a winner in my book!

    They can only purchase 500K shares per day I believe. Last Thursday was 16M volume.
    3MIKE, rarsen, bungaboy and 1 others like this.
    12-15-15 07:04 PM
  10. bbjdog's Avatar
    Ot: F1 lovers


    https://m.youtube.com/watch?feature=...&v=dh6VNyE7qns

    Posted via my BlackBerry Passport
    12-15-15 07:58 PM
  11. Mr BBRY's Avatar
    Is it just me or is there no more Thank You icon?

    Three more days!!!!!!!!!!!!
    I'm surprised no one else here has pointed this out. Where the h*ck is the "Thanks" button? I find myself unable to express my gratitude to the brilliant and well deserving contributors on this thread since it's gone missing. Perhaps the mods took it away because it's during the "quiet period" and they don't want us tipping off too many potential investors that BBRY is about to get skyrocket with the "inside information" that circulates in here?

    Posted with my BlackBerry Super Priv V2.0 with 49% battery life remaining at the end of a very busy day!

    Posted via Priv
    Corbu, rarsen, La Emperor and 3 others like this.
    12-15-15 08:32 PM
  12. farmwersteve's Avatar
    That's a great guess and one I'd love to see materialize as the truth. I haven't heard a single explanation for last Thursday's jump that makes more sense than that, so I respectfully agree. Only 2 more days of trading until we find out if you're right.

    I'd like to continue with those good vibes and follow up on my previous post with my UPDATED PRIV review. 24 hours of use after installing the AT&T OS update and updating all apps in Google Play, all I can say is, WOW! My Priv has been cured of almost all previous ailments! I went from getting a max of 8 hours of use on a full battery charge to having 67% remaining life after 8 hours today. I am honestly shocked at how much of an improvement this update made, and that it came only 1 month after the device was released. My faith in BlackBerry has been restored and I can now comfortably hold my shares into this Friday's ER, knowing that I once again truly appreciate their latest product offering! The Priv is a winner in my book!
    Mr bbry

    Well, I must say I am disappointed to hear the priv has improved so much with the latest updates

    I had talked myself into keeping with the passport, but no I am wondering about the priv again.

    At this rate, come February this priv is gonna be the most sought after android phone full stop

    Posted via CB10
    12-15-15 09:19 PM
  13. CDM76's Avatar
    I'm surprised no one else here has pointed this out. Where the h*ck is the "Thanks" button? I find myself unable to express my gratitude to the brilliant and well deserving contributors on this thread since it's gone missing.
    Posted via Priv
    I didn't even notice as I use the CB10 app and it's still there. However, clicking it does nothing and thanks no longer show on the forums. Weird.

    Maybe our resident MOD could shed some light ?

    Posted via CB10
    Last edited by CDM76; 12-16-15 at 01:53 AM.
    Mr BBRY and bungaboy like this.
    12-15-15 09:21 PM
  14. spiller's Avatar
    Nobody is guessing for ER.

    I'll go.

    540M rev
    700K devices including 150K priv; 260 ASP
    2.9B cash

    182M hardware.
    105M software excl IP
    80M IP license agreement
    173M SAF






    Posted via CB10
    bspence87 and 3MIKE like this.
    12-15-15 11:41 PM
  15. Supa_Fly1's Avatar
    I hope BlackBerry continues on this trend of releasing new innovative hardware with top end quality specs and designs for each platform that also ushers in major significant software improvements.

    Thus far:
    Passport
    Priv

    Passport 10.3 OS + Touch Enabled Keyboard + Hub actions
    Priv Secure Android and slider with 4K video recording.

    Let's see what's next.

    вιaсĸвεггч Z10 via CB10 (Z10STL100-3/10.3.2.2639) on BES12
    CDM76 and 3MIKE like this.
    12-15-15 11:56 PM
  16. zlatno's Avatar
    Nobody is guessing for ER.

    I'll go.

    540M rev
    700K devices including 150K priv; 260 ASP
    2.9B cash

    182M hardware.
    105M software excl IP
    80M IP license agreement
    173M SAF






    Posted via CB10
    Revenue: $505 million
    EPS: -$0.10
    Hardware : 850.000 + devices
    12-16-15 02:51 AM
  17. farmwersteve's Avatar
    Revenue: $505 million
    EPS: -$0.10
    Hardware : 850.000 + devices
    More importantly, what do we figure we need to get a positive stock price bump?



    Posted via CB10
    ZayDub and CDM76 like this.
    12-16-15 05:49 AM
  18. cjcampbell's Avatar
    More importantly, what do we figure we need to get a positive stock price bump?



    Posted via CB10
    Revenue growth over last quarter and/or a bump in device sales.

    Posted via CB10
    bungaboy, CDM76 and La Emperor like this.
    12-16-15 06:46 AM
  19. farmwersteve's Avatar
    Revenue growth over last quarter and/or a bump in device sales.

    Posted via CB10
    Thanks CjC

    I guess at the end of the day it's going to have to be a pretty good beat on earnings, otherwise those people on wallstreet that are bears on BlackBerry will find a way to spin even decent numbers into something negative.

    It would be great to hear about that asset tracking box that was supposed to launch in November, it seems like a pretty awesome device, just need to deploy it






    Posted via CB10
    bungaboy and CDM76 like this.
    12-16-15 06:56 AM
  20. bbjdog's Avatar
    12-16-15 06:57 AM
  21. BBmeboy's Avatar
    I think people here will be a little surprised by handset numbers if they're expecting even or higher from last quarter. Which doesn't make sense since it should be common knowledge that device sales drop off quite steeply after launch and continue to slide.
    The Passport/Classic are quite old at this point. Phones don't suddenly sell an extra 200k (or roughly 20% more) at one year old versus six months old. It's quite the opposite.

    As for Revenue. With handsets still a large percentage of their revenue you should know what will happen given device sales.
    If you look below there is no coincidence that Rev and handset numbers dropped by an close % each.
    It hasn't always been the case as in Q4 14 - Q1 15 revs dropped 660m to 658m, devices dropped 1.3m to 1.1m. But this was just one very rare case out of several quarters not to follow the above.


    Q1 Quarter End: May 30, 2015 Reporting Date: June 23, 2015
    Revs 658m
    1.1m Device Sales

    Q2 Quarter End: August 29, 2015 Reporting Date: September 25, 2015
    Revs 491m (25.38% decrease)
    800k Device Sales (27.27% decrease)

    Q3 Quarter End: November 28, 2015 Reporting Date: December 18, 2015
    Passport/Classic are a year old during this period. Priv has had almost a month at market.

    I would estimate that device sales continue to fall by around 20% like they have quite steadily for some time. 600-700k.
    Revs are harder to predict but just running some numbers would show a 13% fall average the last three quarters (One of those being a prime quarter during Passport/Classic launch). Which if it continues would make rev 427m. (I'm not saying that's what it will be. My predictions of revs are simplified to "better or worse than last quarter, better or worse than what the markets expect")
    12-16-15 08:14 AM
  22. _dimi_'s Avatar
    Let's not forget a potential (non-material?) drop in revenue (or forecast) due the Pakistan surveillance situation..
    Heinz Katchup likes this.
    12-16-15 08:29 AM
  23. TGIS's Avatar
    The quiet period ends!

    'it all started with the  Priv...'
    Heinz Katchup and bungaboy like this.
    12-16-15 08:31 AM
  24. zlatno's Avatar
    More importantly, what do we figure we need to get a positive stock price bump? Posted via CB10
    I FIGURE we will have to wait until March 2016 for that...

    The other poster (BBmeboy) who says that we should expect another fall in handset sales, therefore revenue as well.

    RE: Handset sales - I predicted 850.000 devices for the Q just ended. I expect a little bit of the first supply of Privs to be included in this number.
    - NOT to expect much from the Passport and Classic?!? I don't. Yes, both devices are already over a year old but these devices aren't consumer oriented. They are NOT the next best thing. The same old Bold had a pretty good run. Gov'ts don't buy the newest toy right out of the gate. It has to go through a long process by the time everyone who matters signs off on them. I am not expecting BB10 devices to rise, just not fall that much.
    - The sell-through vs the reported number - I expect Chen to close the gap a bit on the BB10s. Last Q had 1.1million sell-through, so there are 300.000 units not counted for as of yet.
    - The Passport - This device has NEVER been marketed (not counting minor ads). With the new Priv coming out, I think it might have had a positive effect on the Passport. 1) Some people actually bought the Passport in fear of not being able to purchase a BB10 device in the future. 2) Priv has given BlackBerry some pretty good press. Maybe some people have stumbled upon the Passport while they were reading up on the Priv. 3) I know of 3 people in my country that have bought the Passport AFTER seeing me with it. With no prior marketing push, why would this device sales fall off? It never had that FIRST WEEK bump that the iPhone and Samsung Galaxy have due to advertising.

    RE: Revenue - I guesstimated $505.011.000
    - I took into account a little bit of AtHok and one months worth of GOOD.
    - I kinda remember Chen mentioning that he expects some IP $$$.

    NOW, the real reason I guessed a little bump in revenue and handsets. BECAUSE that's what Chen guided at the last Q report. He said that he expected handset sales to have hit bottom at 800k and that some of the Priv would be included in this last Qs numbers. Since it seems the Priv has sold better than anyone expected, I bumped the hardware sales a bit. REVENUE!?! Chen said that revenue will show a little positive uptick Q over Q.

    Chen seems to be a pretty bright guy. I can't see him giving guidance and not being able to deliver. So mark it here. Handset sales will be at least 800k. Revenue will be up from last Q. 2 more days...
    Last edited by zlatno; 12-16-15 at 09:37 AM. Reason: Mistake with the quote
    morganplus8, rarsen, 3MIKE and 4 others like this.
    12-16-15 09:03 AM
  25. W Hoa's Avatar
    I would estimate that device sales continue to fall by around 20% like they have quite steadily for some time. 600-700k.
    Last quarter had a sell through of 800k devices but had shipped 1.1 million. So we could probably take 300k devices as a baseline for this quarter.
    12-16-15 09:05 AM
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