The BBRY Café. [Formerly: I support BBRY and I buy shares!]
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For discussion purposes, let's just say the stock is exactly $10 right now and those Jan 5 2015 call options cost $5 each.
With $1000, you can buy 100 shares of BBRY. that's the easy part.
With $500, you can buy one call option. This call option provides you the option to buy 100 shares BBRY stock for $5/share. So with $500, you control 100 shares. $1000 gives you control of 200 shares. So, twice the shares.
The issue .... Movements in option prices are twice that of stock (a simplified view).
So, if the stock goes to $7 you'd have $700 in stock for your $1000 investment. But with options, those stock options will be worth less. The simplified view of these options is that they are now worth $200 per option (Stock price - strike = 7 - 5). You own two though, so you have $400 worth of options at that point.
So, with the option strategy I mentioned, the gains and losses are twice that of simply owning the stock.
Understanding options takes time. It's something one needs to research. From a theoretical perspective, just think of it as a way of using leverage.
Anyway, let's say the stock goes to $15. Your $1000 investment in stock is now worth $1500. But the $1000 investment in Jan 5 2015 calls is now worth $2000.
My personal opinion is that before Jan 2015, we will see $15/ share again. So it's worth the risk.
Please feel free to follow up with other questions. Options can be confusing, so as long as the answer will not take a page, I will answer.07-05-13 10:12 PMLike 3 -
Posted via CB10 on a Z10 root device!07-05-13 10:42 PMLike 9 - That is one of the things that creeps me out about Thor and company. They act like politicians on the q &a call. Never answering questions directly, always deflecting. I appreciate that they are in a tight spot, but getting defensive makes everything worse because nobody will trust you after too many wishy-washy answers.
Posted via CB10 on a Z10 root device!
But in reality, they are just frustrating everyone like nobody's business. Fans, customers, shareholders, analysts! Everyone gets frustrated by lack of clear answers.
Posted via CB 10 app on my Q10!07-05-13 10:48 PMLike 4 - OK, options ...
For discussion purposes, let's just say the stock is exactly $10 right now and those Jan 5 2015 call options cost $5 each.
With $1000, you can buy 100 shares of BBRY. that's the easy part.
With $500, you can buy one call option. This call option provides you the option to buy 100 shares BBRY stock for $5/share. So with $500, you control 100 shares. $1000 gives you control of 200 shares. So, twice the shares.
The issue .... Movements in option prices are twice that of stock (a simplified view).
So, if the stock goes to $7 you'd have $700 in stock for your $1000 investment. But with options, those stock options will be worth less. The simplified view of these options is that they are now worth $200 per option (Stock price - strike = 7 - 5). You own two though, so you have $400 worth of options at that point.
So, with the option strategy I mentioned, the gains and losses are twice that of simply owning the stock.
Understanding options takes time. It's something one needs to research. From a theoretical perspective, just think of it as a way of using leverage.
Anyway, let's say the stock goes to $15. Your $1000 investment in stock is now worth $1500. But the $1000 investment in Jan 5 2015 calls is now worth $2000.
My personal opinion is that before Jan 2015, we will see $15/ share again. So it's worth the risk.
Please feel free to follow up with other questions. Options can be confusing, so as long as the answer will not take a page, I will answer.
morganplus8 likes this.07-05-13 11:38 PMLike 1 - OK, options ...
For discussion purposes, let's just say the stock is exactly $10 right now and those Jan 5 2015 call options cost $5 each.
With $1000, you can buy 100 shares of BBRY. that's the easy part.
With $500, you can buy one call option. This call option provides you the option to buy 100 shares BBRY stock for $5/share. So with $500, you control 100 shares. $1000 gives you control of 200 shares. So, twice the shares.
The issue .... Movements in option prices are twice that of stock (a simplified view).
So, if the stock goes to $7 you'd have $700 in stock for your $1000 investment. But with options, those stock options will be worth less. The simplified view of these options is that they are now worth $200 per option (Stock price - strike = 7 - 5). You own two though, so you have $400 worth of options at that point.
So, with the option strategy I mentioned, the gains and losses are twice that of simply owning the stock.
Understanding options takes time. It's something one needs to research. From a theoretical perspective, just think of it as a way of using leverage.
Anyway, let's say the stock goes to $15. Your $1000 investment in stock is now worth $1500. But the $1000 investment in Jan 5 2015 calls is now worth $2000.
My personal opinion is that before Jan 2015, we will see $15/ share again. So it's worth the risk.
Please feel free to follow up with other questions. Options can be confusing, so as long as the answer will not take a page, I will answer.morganplus8 likes this.07-05-13 11:46 PMLike 1 - Gotcha, different perspectives. I looked at it as in I'm paying for the underlying security where it has the possibilities of expire worthless. So technically speaking to own actual share to me is premium + strike price which isn't bad for a call that far out basically invest half of the capital to hopefully see the SP trading north of the strike price. But your right, controlling 2x the volume without actually owning it for the time being.
No debt and about $6/share in cash/equivs.
there is a reason I like those 5 strikes.abouthsu likes this.07-06-13 12:15 AMLike 1 -
It is rare for options to be exercised. Most people just trade the options.
So, ya .... 18 months for BBRY to maybe see $15/share. I think it could happen ;-)
If we see $7.xx again, I'd be tempted to take all my cash and put in jan 17 2015 calls.
However, if I were to one day actually see $100/share, I'd exercise some of those options just to stick it to someone. Doesn't effect me tax wise but might give them headaches.abouthsu likes this.07-06-13 12:17 AMLike 1 - yes.
It is rare for options to be exercised. Most people just trade the options.
So, ya .... 18 months for BBRY to maybe see $15/share. I think it could happen ;-)
If we see $7.xx again, I'd be tempted to take all my cash and put in jan 17 2015 calls.
However, if I were to one day actually see $100/share, I'd exercise some of those options just to stick it to someone. Doesn't effect me tax wise but might give them headaches.07-06-13 03:29 AMLike 0 - Superfly_FRRetired Moderator
PLEASE READIf you're not already experienced, be very cautious with options trading.
They are most likely reserved to experienced traders.
Take advices from educated specialists before you press the button.
07-06-13 06:45 AMLike 2 -
That's one of the fears with buying out of the money LEAPS for BBRY. There's always that buyout possibility. But, when a company is bought out it is usually at a premium of the current SP. Also, I can't see Watsa or other board members agreeing to buyout below their avg. price.abouthsu likes this.07-06-13 08:41 AMLike 1 -
Options Basics: Introduction | Investopedia07-06-13 08:50 AMLike 4 - If they buyout for straight up cash, hope and pray that they offer more than the strike price of your calls. If not, they expire worthless.
That's one of the fears with buying out of the money LEAPS for BBRY. There's always that buyout possibility. But, when a company is bought out it is usually at a premium of the current SP. Also, I can't see Watsa or other board members agreeing to buyout below their avg. price.morganplus8 likes this.07-06-13 09:45 AMLike 1 - OPTIONS
OK, today I closed about half of my Jan 2014 calls at the 30 strike at a big loss. Figure I might as well get something seeing they will probably go worthless. the other half are going to ride till the next earnings call.
Hoping Monday is a down day so i can open:
Jan 17 2015 calls (currently under $1)
Jan 5 2015 calls (currently trading with next to no premium)
Those jan 5 2015s are going for $4.80. So, I am basically buying the stock for $9.80 but I get control of 2x the shares. Not bad considering that BBRY closed at $9.55 today.
BBM CHANNEL C000EF854 < bbry stocks*C0004ABC9<Pin friends meet07-06-13 10:11 AMLike 0 -
Posted via CB1007-06-13 10:29 AMLike 6 -
- Really, you hope Monday is a down day because you made poor investment decisions, it's probably a good time to rethink your strategy, I hope Monday is up.. notice , we are in the same game but playing different positions*
BBM CHANNEL C000EF854 < bbry stocks*C0004ABC9<Pin friends meet
Posted via CB1007-06-13 06:01 PMLike 2 -
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