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No problem! Here is the close-up chart:
The pattern does become clearer when you zoom into the last couple of months of trading. We are ready to breakout of this 5 week downtrend or consolidation period. The challenges are the 50-dma ( $ 14.38/shr) which should fall quickly and then the $ 16.00/shr area is next. It makes sense to rally to at least the $ 16.25/shr this time around. I must state again that Friday was scary as we stepped outside the well defined boundaries, but that was for only a matter of minutes and didn't mean anything other than a Key-Reversal happened as we closed at the highs of the day, after having made new lows for the past 5 weeks plus. This "reversal" tells us to buy any dip and ride it out from here.
Here is another way to look at the rally, we are looking at the Weekly high/low/close of the stock, as in one indicator line for one week's worth of trade, .... over 1 1/2 years. This is a slow moving chart and it helps us know what the computer driven trading is doing to the stock.
Here you can see a couple of patterns developing, one is that we top out and correct over 4 - 6 weeks and take only 1 -3 weeks to rally hard to the top. There is also a line of resistance around $ 17.00/shr that will take some good news to break out of. And so we can see that after 4 1/2 weeks and a drop of $ 3.00/shr, we are ready to rally for 2 - 3 weeks here. The RSI will cause us to slow down around the $ 17.50/shr mark which makes sense. With the slope of the consolidation, we took 6 weeks to bottom out (green sloping line on left), followed by 5 weeks to bottom out (green sloping line on right) and if we can't get above $ 16.25/shr this time around, we can expect another 4 week consolidation period before we see a rally again.
Monday is going to be a very interesting day with the strong finish on Friday. We are long overdue for a rally here. Anything closing above $ 16.25/shr this week, and we have a major breakout in the stock. GL04-20-13 01:48 PMLike 23 - Hey guys I'm just quickly checking in from Hong Kong and I must say I was surprised with their advertising here!!! A Lot of people advertising at LKF which is a tourist area ill try and get a pic up soon
Posted via CB1004-20-13 01:59 PMLike 19 - I'm thinking that the next rally will be driven by an official report out on Q10 pre - order figures. I hope it comes next week.Shanerredflag and bungaboy like this.04-20-13 02:00 PMLike 2
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Posted via Z1004-20-13 02:14 PMLike 0 - M8. It looks like the upper trend line is declining faster than the lower trend line. Does this signal anything meaningful?
Posted via CB10Last edited by sparkaction; 04-20-13 at 02:28 PM.
04-20-13 02:16 PMLike 0 - 04-20-13 02:46 PMLike 11
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- W0W! That was excellent! Honest, straight forward and un-biased. We aren't used to such truthfulness.CDM76 and world traveler and former ceo like this.04-20-13 07:36 PMLike 2
- https://www.youtube.com/watch?featur...&v=p16J29PZP1k Haha... Random but worthy.Shanerredflag and Markymark 23 like this.04-20-13 09:41 PMLike 2
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- I always thought Samsung was the one playing dirty rather than apple... nowadays anyway. As an Asian I know many such companies thinks nothing of pulling of stunts like that... from the moment I saw their advert I thought they were so uncouth I never supported them. Would rather buy apple. Was so annoyed at my sister when she got a mini Samsung.
Posted via CB1004-20-13 11:08 PMLike 0 - No problem! Here is the close-up chart:
The pattern does become clearer when you zoom into the last couple of months of trading. We are ready to breakout of this 5 week downtrend or consolidation period. The challenges are the 50-dma ( $ 14.38/shr) which should fall quickly and then the $ 16.00/shr area is next. It makes sense to rally to at least the $ 16.25/shr this time around. I must state again that Friday was scary as we stepped outside the well defined boundaries, but that was for only a matter of minutes and didn't mean anything other than a Key-Reversal happened as we closed at the highs of the day, after having made new lows for the past 5 weeks plus. This "reversal" tells us to buy any dip and ride it out from here.
Here is another way to look at the rally, we are looking at the Weekly high/low/close of the stock, as in one indicator line for one week's worth of trade, .... over 1 1/2 years. This is a slow moving chart and it helps us know what the computer driven trading is doing to the stock.
Here you can see a couple of patterns developing, one is that we top out and correct over 4 - 6 weeks and take only 1 -3 weeks to rally hard to the top. There is also a line of resistance around $ 17.00/shr that will take some good news to break out of. And so we can see that after 4 1/2 weeks and a drop of $ 3.00/shr, we are ready to rally for 2 - 3 weeks here. The RSI will cause us to slow down around the $ 17.50/shr mark which makes sense. With the slope of the consolidation, we took 6 weeks to bottom out (green sloping line on left), followed by 5 weeks to bottom out (green sloping line on right) and if we can't get above $ 16.25/shr this time around, we can expect another 4 week consolidation period before we see a rally again.
Monday is going to be a very interesting day with the strong finish on Friday. We are long overdue for a rally here. Anything closing above $ 16.25/shr this week, and we have a major breakout in the stock. GL
Have a good health and increased wealth!
God bless u man. Regards to ur wife too.
Pardon my english Sir.
Cheers!
-Alex04-21-13 02:44 AMLike 10 - Interesting numbers thrown around here...hope they are accurate:
Z10 is BlackBerry comeback plan | Business Times
The BlackBerry Z10. Picture: REUTERS
REVIEW: BlackBerry Z10
BLACKBERRY's new operating system may be the catalyst that sparks a revival in the company's fortunes.
The cellphone maker, which changed its name from Research in Motion earlier this year, said earlier this month that it had shipped six million smartphones running the new BlackBerry 10 operating system. More remarkably, its next-generation Z10 touch-screen smartphone, which also runs the new operating system, has shipped a million units in a single month since its launch.
A glance at BlackBerry's parlous share price, sharply down 87% in the last five years, tells the tale of a company that has been badly outfoxed by rivals like Apple - despite the fact that it remains hugely popular in South Africa. However, the 17% gain in BlackBerry's share price in the last month tells a story of a company with a comeback plan. The Z10 is its main weapon in this plan.
CEO Thorsten Heins said that although he could not give exact numbers, roughly two-thirds to three-quarters of Z10 shipments have "already sold through" to consumers.
While this is minuscule compared with sales of the Apple iPhone 5, which sold more than five million units within three days of its September 21 launch last year, the BlackBerry Z10 has already sold out in some markets.
"The turnaround cycles for sell-in [to the stores] to sell-through [to the consumer] is pretty short, which is a pretty good signal - it actually shows that we are higher in demand than supply. That's why we have ramped up our production capabilities."
He added that recent data showed 55% of Z10 customers all over the world migrated from platforms other than BlackBerry.
It is not hard to see why.
For businesses - including about 95% of the JSE Top 300 companies which have the BlackBerry Enterprise Server (BES) installed, according to BlackBerry MD for southern Africa Alexandra Zagury - there is no longer a need to pull out hair in frustration at employees copying and pasting information from enterprise e-mail services and applications.
The new BlackBerry Balance feature addresses this, basically transforming the device into two smartphones in one - one fully encrypted "work space" for enterprise services and one for personal use.
Personal and work apps and information are kept separate, but employees can switch from their personal space to their work space with a simple flick of the finger.
"Before, businesses had to make a compromise," said Nader Henein, who works in BlackBerry's security advisory division. "With Balance you don't have to."
Zagury said more than 25 local organisations are already running the BES 10. "A further 100 are currently trialling BlackBerry 10. These include Alexander Forbes, Bowman Gilfillan, Dimension Data, Edcon, Netcare and Tiger Brands."
A PDF reader and Docs To Go are preloaded on the smartphone, making it easy to view documents and work on Word, Excel and PowerPoint documents on the move.
Weighing a relatively light 136g, the device has a 4.2-inch touch-screen, and is 9mm thick, comfortably sliding into an inner suit pocket.
The iPhone 5, by contrast, weighs 112g.
The Z10 has an eight megapixel high-definition camera on the back, with a two megapixel HD camera on the front for the BlackBerry Messenger video chat function.
The operating system has been completely overhauled, ridding it of the annoying rotating clock on earlier devices. The new BlackBerry World storefront presents a threat to Apple's iTunes Store, as it offers thousands of applications, as well as music with a flat fee of R8.99 a track. Songs downloaded on iTunes range from R6.99 to R8.99.
Another competitor for Apple is the BlackBerry Newsstand, which currently only has a limited choice of magazines available to download and read on the Z10.
All content downloads in seconds, marking a change from the previous operating system, which would take minutes while rendering the device unusable because the rotating clock would make an appearance.
BlackBerry World's video download and rental section has gone live in three countries, featuring movies from six production studios and TV shows from 14 studios and broadcasters, depending on the region. Local availability will be announced later.
For social network addicts, the BlackBerry Hub feature offers e-mail, social accounts and text messages in one application, negating the need to open and close applications. There is also a "peek feature", allowing users to slide the display halfway and check out what is happening in the hub.
Verdict: The Z10 earns top marks for both business and consumer use. After considering ditching my Torch for an iPhone because of that annoying rotating clock, I have decided to stick with BlackBerry.
* This article was first published in Sunday Times: Business Times
Posted via CB1004-21-13 10:10 AMLike 9 - 6 Million? The Q4 earning call said close to 1 million. Is that an extra 5 million between then and now?04-21-13 11:15 AMLike 0
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- I'm starting to see more and more Z10's out in the wild. I was out to see a band last night and my buddy's sister and her husband both had one and the girl I brought home did too. Then, this morning while in line a Timmies, I saw an older guy using one while sitting and reading the paper. I like what is happening
Posted via CB1004-21-13 11:19 AMLike 7 -
- Skytrain is fine if u live close enuf to not have to take 2 or 3 buss to get to it. They shoulda built a few more lines a decade ago. Same ol story. New line from Lougheed mall towards my place will take years as they have to tunnel huge under "snake hill" half way to coquitlam centre area at a cost of billions. By then it will cost @ 10 bucks to get downtown!!04-21-13 12:07 PMLike 0
- I'm starting to see more and more Z10's out in the wild. I was out to see a band last night and my buddy's sister and her husband both had one and the girl I brought home did too. Then, this morning while in line a Timmies, I saw an older guy using one while sitting and reading the paper. I like what is happening
Takin home Z10 babes from the bar! Very cool dude!
Posted via CB1004-21-13 12:28 PMLike 0 - If that's true, then Q1 will be off the charts because there is still the Q10 to consider.
Maybe that's why the market jumped Friday in the late afternoon. The stock should pop tomorrow - We'll see.Charles Martin1 likes this.04-21-13 12:33 PMLike 1 -
There'll still be lots of room for the short - dogs to poke holes in the results. Just look at what happened after the last earnings...we even went into into black and demonstrated much higher gross margins than anybody expected.Last edited by Charles Martin1; 04-21-13 at 01:40 PM.
04-21-13 01:04 PMLike 0
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