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- some one is converting debt in to stocks. giving up 6% annual interest rate. Blackberry no longer has to pay interest on 300 millions. how is this bad for the Blackberry?03-12-15 01:34 PMLike 21
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- On the other hand...perhaps earnings this quarter will be strong enough that Chen and Prem felt the timing was ok to go ahead with the conversion? Let's see how the news plays out on the market.03-12-15 01:42 PMLike 7
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- 03-12-15 01:49 PMLike 2
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I was away for a few hours, I see the stock tried to trade above $ 10.00, so far, it hasn't even broken $ 9.90/shr ...... when was the last time you saw BBRY not trade in the red at some point during a quiet/newsless day? Now I jinxed it!03-12-15 01:49 PMLike 13 -
1. either they need the money?
2. expecting share price to rise?
3???
edit: what would be really great if blackberry purchased these shares on the open market?Last edited by sidhuk; 03-12-15 at 02:07 PM.
03-12-15 01:51 PMLike 3 -
The IBM involvement is intriguing as we all know who they cater to.Last edited by La Emperor; 03-12-15 at 02:28 PM.
03-12-15 02:09 PMLike 7 - ''Canso Investment Counsel Ltd. (Canso) rejects “efficient market” theory. Canso believes that the financial markets are subject to human emotion and biases and are thus inherently inefficient.''
This is pretty remarkable, or not? They're now in the same camp as us if something horrible would happen to BlackBerry.. but as bond holders they would have been repaid first? Bond holders receive a 6% annual payment, but also enjoy the upward potential of BBRY.. like us? Why would they do that? Do they need to redeem funds.. or would they be looking to increase the float so short positions can be covered more easily? Just thinking out-of-the-box here.. it sounds a bit far-fetched though03-12-15 02:21 PMLike 6 - You'd expect the group of bond holders to share Prem's vision.. selling now could mean Canso Investment Counsel Ltd. as a company could be looking for cash, or they haven't done their homework before buying these bonds and now no longer 'believe' in Chen's strategy. The latter is unlikely imho.La Emperor and jxnb like this.03-12-15 02:24 PMLike 2
- Here is some quick math on that bond issue. There are currently 525 MM shares outstanding plus bonds, if they earned $ .10/shr that would mean they earned $ 52.5 MM bucks, now if those bonds are converted completely, they would have 650 MM shares outstanding so divide $ 52.5 MM / 650 MM shares and you get $ .08/shr. The earnings hit would be 20% or $ .02/shr to both earnings and a loss. Fully diluted shares would now be an EPS of $ .08/shr and the same goes for losses, they would report a fully diluted loss of only $ .08/shr instead of $ .10/shr with the diluted float. The change is 20% of EPS to the bottom line. That means it is $ .02/shr easier for Chen to report flat earnings next Q!
Now why did they convert those bonds? Great question, I wonder if the report is related to the conversion into stock and the accompaning reduction in the Short Interest in BBRY? I would say those shares were hedged with a short position in the stock. If this is the case, a chunk of the outstanding shares are likely hedged the same way. We just need to see the execution date to find out as we know when the short interest dropped.03-12-15 02:27 PMLike 15 - You'd expect the group of bond holders to share Prem's vision.. selling now could mean Canso Investment Counsel Ltd. as a company could be looking for cash, or they haven't done their homework before buying these bonds and now no longer 'believe' in Chen's strategy. The latter is unlikely imho.
Posted via CB1003-12-15 02:31 PMLike 2 - I think it is more important to find out if they "unhedged" themselves, as _dimi_ alluded to, they are exposed now and weren't while holding the bonds and short the stock. We dropped about 30 MM shares in the short interest report two sessions ago.03-12-15 02:35 PMLike 7
- Hi Morgan,
Good thinking!!! But that still leaves the question: why did they convert the bonds? Not to get exposed... and if they expect shares to rise they could just hold on to their bonds and claim the 6%?
Edit:
I remember reading somewhere that only 'naked' short positions are reported, and that these short positions need to be covered (or off-set against actual shares so it becomes a hedged position, along with some other dodgy ways of finding a way around this law) within a certain amount of weeks/months. So, with this complete speculation from my part in my backmind, were they forced to convert the bonds because they found no other way of off-setting their short position? If only I remembered where I read this...03-12-15 02:42 PMLike 4 - Here is some quick math on that bond issue. There are currently 525 MM shares outstanding plus bonds, if they earned $ .10/shr that would mean they earned $ 52.5 MM bucks, now if those bonds are converted completely, they would have 650 MM shares outstanding so divide $ 52.5 MM / 650 MM shares and you get $ .08/shr. The earnings hit would be 20% or $ .02/shr to both earnings and a loss. Fully diluted shares would now be an EPS of $ .08/shr and the same goes for losses, they would report a fully diluted loss of only $ .08/shr instead of $ .10/shr with the diluted float. The change is 20% of EPS to the bottom line. That means it is $ .02/shr easier for Chen to report flat earnings next Q!
Now why did they convert those bonds? Great question, I wonder if the report is related to the conversion into stock and the accompaning reduction in the Short Interest in BBRY? I would say those shares were hedged with a short position in the stock. If this is the case, a chunk of the outstanding shares are likely hedged the same way. We just need to see the execution date to find out as we know when the short interest dropped.
Interesting theory regarding the short hedge but I have my doubts as the short interest remained mostly unchanged or down in the weeks after the debt deal was done. If lenders were short hedging around the deal then we would have seen a corresponding uptick in short interest.
Posted via CB1003-12-15 02:45 PMLike 0 - Hi Morgan,
Good thinking!!! But that still leaves the question: why did they convert the bonds? Not to get exposed... and if they expect shares to rise they could just hold on to their bonds and claim the 6%?
Edit:
I remember reading somewhere that only 'naked' short positions are reported, and that these short positions need to be covered (or off-set against actual shares so it becomes a hedged position, along with some other dodgy ways of finding a way around this law) within a certain amount of weeks/months. So, with this complete speculation from my part in my backmind, were they forced to convert the bonds because they found no other way of off-setting their short position? If only I remembered where I read this...03-12-15 02:56 PMLike 12 - Agree with the math and adding for clarity that today's conversion represents a quarter of the outstanding converts...so today's developments are 1/4 of your % figures.
Interesting theory regarding the short hedge but I have my doubts as the short interest remained mostly unchanged or down in the weeks after the debt deal was done. If lenders were short hedging around the deal then we would have seen a corresponding uptick in short interest.
Posted via CB10
1/30/2015 97,681,923 16,211,710 6.025393
1/15/2015 125,367,832 21,627,814 5.796602
Read more: BlackBerry Limited (BBRY) Short Interest - NASDAQ.com
That amount would account for a bond conversion in this case, we need to know the date that they called the bonds in for stock.03-12-15 03:01 PMLike 7 - Naked Short — This is an invention of the securities industry that is a license to create counterfeit shares. In the context of this document, a share created that has the effect of increasing the number of shares that are in the market place beyond the number issued by the company, is considered counterfeit. This is not a legal conclusion, since some shares we consider counterfeit are legal based upon today's rules. The alleged justification for naked shorting is to insure an orderly and smooth market, but all too often it is used to create a virtually unlimited supply of counterfeit shares, which leads to widespread stock manipulation – the lynchpin of this massive fraud.
Returning to our example, everything is the same except the part about borrowing the share from someone else's account: There is no borrowed share — instead a new one is created by either the broker dealer or the DTC. Without a borrowed share behind the short sale, a naked short is really a counterfeit share.
Fails–to–Deliver — The process of creating shares via naked shorting creates an obvious imbalance in the market as the sell side is artificially increased with naked short shares or more accurately, counterfeit shares. Time limits are imposed that dictate how long the sold share can be naked. For a stock market investor or trader, that time limit is three days. According to SEC rules, if the broker dealer has not located a share to borrow, they are supposed to take cash in the short account and purchase a share in the open market. This is called a “buy–in,” and it is supposed to maintain the total number of shares in the market place equal to the number of shares the company has issued.
Market makers have special exemptions from the rules: they are allowed to carry a naked short for up to twenty–one trading days before they have to borrow a share. When the share is not borrowed in the allotted time and a buy–in does not occur, and they rarely do, the naked short becomes a fail–to–deliver (of the borrowed share).
Counterfeiting Stock - Explaining illegal naked shorting and stock manipulation03-12-15 03:06 PMLike 6 - Naked Short — This is an invention of the securities industry that is a license to create counterfeit shares. In the context of this document, a share created that has the effect of increasing the number of shares that are in the market place beyond the number issued by the company, is considered counterfeit. This is not a legal conclusion, since some shares we consider counterfeit are legal based upon today's rules. The alleged justification for naked shorting is to insure an orderly and smooth market, but all too often it is used to create a virtually unlimited supply of counterfeit shares, which leads to widespread stock manipulation – the lynchpin of this massive fraud.
Returning to our example, everything is the same except the part about borrowing the share from someone else's account: There is no borrowed share — instead a new one is created by either the broker dealer or the DTC. Without a borrowed share behind the short sale, a naked short is really a counterfeit share.
Fails–to–Deliver — The process of creating shares via naked shorting creates an obvious imbalance in the market as the sell side is artificially increased with naked short shares or more accurately, counterfeit shares. Time limits are imposed that dictate how long the sold share can be naked. For a stock market investor or trader, that time limit is three days. According to SEC rules, if the broker dealer has not located a share to borrow, they are supposed to take cash in the short account and purchase a share in the open market. This is called a “buy–in,” and it is supposed to maintain the total number of shares in the market place equal to the number of shares the company has issued.
Market makers have special exemptions from the rules: they are allowed to carry a naked short for up to twenty–one trading days before they have to borrow a share. When the share is not borrowed in the allotted time and a buy–in does not occur, and they rarely do, the naked short becomes a fail–to–deliver (of the borrowed share).
Counterfeiting Stock - Explaining illegal naked shorting and stock manipulation03-12-15 03:14 PMLike 12
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