1 year Prediction
I got a prediction. I think in 1 year BBs global smartphone marketshare (10+BBOS) will be equal to or greater than iPhone, it will obviously lag the 'free'-ware and I think WP8 will grow marginally but stay in the single digits .
I feel pretty good about that one. Any other predictions? Disagree with it? Agree? Upset by it?
Its funny how there doesnt seem to be much of an attempt to report this but it would be interesting to know market share based on all personal computing devices. Tablets+PCs+Smartphones. Active user device marketshare (not counting devices that have been junked) would be good to know as well.
- 11-24-12, 03:53 AM #2
Let's wait for BlackBerry 10 smartphones to hit the market for a few months before jumping to conclusions. The critical uptake period is the first 3-6 months of a new product's life. If Research In Motion has its act together for the launch of the BlackBerry 10 mobile computing platform including the new smartphones as well as an update for the tablet (WiFi and 4G/LTE models), Thorsten Heins will have orchestrated the equivalent of "Miracle on 34th Street." In the meantime, light a candle and place it in the window.
- 11-24-12, 03:55 AM #3
Dude. you need to not be bias. just saying BB10 catching up to iphone will never happen in one year. and saying Wp8 will stay single digit is just bias. people are reporting that Nokia sold over 2.5 million Lumia 920 already. So I think you should wait and see and not compare right noe
- CrackBerry Abuser
11-24-12, 04:07 AM #4
- 244 Posts
- Why so serious?
Re: 1 year Prediction
Yes, it is much too early to make outrageous claims such as these. Anything could happen...BB10 could indeed "Flow," ... or it could very well flop, just as easily. Being CrackBerry.com, we can all hope the results are the former rather than the latter, but only time will tell. Whatever the case, I reluctantly agree that BB10, short of divine intervention, will not catch up to the iPhone, ESPECIALLY not inside of a year. I'm sorry to burst your bubble, but your prediction is just, sad though it may be, blind optimism. :/***One cannot get anywhere in life unless they are willing to steal the tiger's wallet.***
- 11-24-12, 05:30 AM #6
Re: 1 year Prediction
- 11-24-12, 05:39 AM #7
However, his prediction was for BB to meet or exceed "iPhone" market share in one year, with no specificity or defining parameters.
I'm taking him on his initial prediction and have bookmarked the thread.
Meet you here on February 28, 2014.
Assuming we live through the Mayan Apocalypse.
- 11-24-12, 06:13 AM #9
- 11-24-12, 06:26 AM #10
I'll make another prediction. 160M iPhones to 50M Blackberries.
- 11-24-12, 06:46 AM #14
- 11-24-12, 07:22 AM #18
- 11-24-12, 07:27 AM #19
Seems some don't know what prediction means and that's quite a prediction Hurds!Sent from me using my fingers. Be pantless in 5K. Febreze - for more than smells.
Posted from my phone or pc or tablet that are no better than anyone else's
Woopie Doopie we have em fun
- 11-24-12, 07:31 AM #21
The reason there was no steep dropoff in sales in 2011 is because there were actually 2 iPhone launches that year. February saw the launch of the Verizon iPhone. October saw the launch of the iPhone 4S. The launch of the iPhone 4 on Verizon, 8 months prior, mitigated sales drop in the quarters immediately before the iPhone 4S was launched. Some people also waited for the white iPhone, which didn't become available until April of that year. It's also worth noting, the iPhone 4 had an extremely long period during which it reigned as the top iPhone model, over 16 months I believe.
Last edited by Roo Zilla; 11-24-12 at 07:45 AM.
- 11-24-12, 07:54 AM #23
Re: 1 year Prediction
What the bloody are you on about. The gap between launches was longer between iPhone 4 and iPhone 4s, than between 4s and iphone5. An introduction of an iPhone by one of carriers in America, is a bit of a stretch to call it an iPhone launch. Don't you think?
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