- CrackBerry Abuser
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Only 1.3 Million BlackBerry 10 Devices Would Push BlackBerry into the Black, says Analyst
Only 1.3 Million BlackBerry 10 Devices Would Push BlackBerry into the Black, says Analyst - N4BB
Every analyst and their mother seems to be making predictions on BlackBerry 10 sales. The latest is Bernstein Research’s Pierre Ferragu, who reiterates an Outperform rating on the stock.
Ferragu says BlackBerry may post profit in its June-ending Fiscal Q1 results, beating expectations. This could potentially boost the stock to $20 0r $25.
“Only 1.3m Blackberry 10 units would be sufficient to push the company into the black” Ferragu writes, urging investors to look past recent reports of slow initial sales.
- 02-25-13, 09:06 PM #5
Say 1 million phones is break even. Each additional 1 million phones add $100 million in free cash flow. if they sell 21 million this year, that is $2 billion in free cash flow. This math just gets better and better!
- 02-25-13, 11:24 PM #6
- 02-27-13, 12:05 PM #10
If all else stayed the same from last quarter, assuming $200 Gross per unit, then 1.3 million THIS quarter would push them into the black.
However, $200 per unit might be overdoing it. Also, I would expect their marketing costs to be much higher than last quarter. Also revenues from BB7 devices might be a good chunk lower than the December 2012 quarter.
Though, I like his optimism!
Edit: I looked at the link and it appears he is referring to sales in the June 2013 quarter. This might be reasonable to assume, particularly with cost cutting that hasn't been realized yet. Also, 1.3 in the June-ending quarter is very doable.
- CrackBerry Addict
02-27-13, 01:47 PM #11
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- 02-27-13, 01:50 PM #12
- 02-27-13, 02:05 PM #14
- CrackBerry Genius
02-27-13, 02:39 PM #16
- 2,226 Posts
- 02-27-13, 06:30 PM #17
4.4 million nok wp8 sales in the holiday quarter. after being fully launched
compaired to a 1.5 million 1/3 launched Z10 in the slow season, is not all that bad IMO
If thats how it comes down.
- 03-02-13, 11:52 AM #18
Last edited by Bbnivende; 03-02-13 at 07:29 PM.
- 03-02-13, 03:06 PM #19
Only Apple can have 150-200$ profit per device. Companies will be happy when they have 60-80$ profit per device. Otherwise Samsung would have had the most of the cash today.
7.1 are sold mostly outside North America and Europe, so they are still going to sell good in Asia and Africa.
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